Although apparently this case is REALLY about hidden money in campaigns, today the Supremes gave both sides' advocates the full treatment in the oral argument for
Doe v. Reed. For the petitioners, the Justices were skeptical how the First Amendment prohibited releasing the names of individuals who had signed petitions, but did not prohibit open voting, campaign disclosure, etc. For the State of Washington, they doubted there was much real help provided the states in reviewing petitions by the public.
The morning got off to a rollicking start with Justice Kennedy delivering the opinion of the Court in
Salazar v. Buono, in which it reaffirmed Congress's power to give away land in the middle of nowhere on which a cross had been set 70 years ago.
I must admit I was disappointed. I sped to the Court this morning looking forward to seeing what would happen when circumstances mixed gay activists and Christians in the Bar member line. Instead, I enjoyed catching up with
Joe and
Cleta. I was hoping for fireworks. Instead, we discussed smartphones and
Citizens United.
I detect a new rule in campaign and election cases. You now must attract a brief from a group of scholars as amici. Then, a Justice will mention it from the bench. (Hey - two times makes a trend.) Today's proud amici is the
Democracy Scholars for Democratic Democracies, or something like that. Cudos to Joe and Liz for their fine work.
Predictions? Of course! The holding will be to permit disclosure in general of the petition signer's information. There will be a variety of opinions why this is the law. Some Justices will embrace the idea that disclosure is the default in political regulation. Some will see this as an Election Administration case, rather than a First Amendment case, where states enjoy discretion. Some will see a positive role for "enhancing debate" - which seems to confuse the effect of putting one's name on a petition with putting up a yard sign. Justice Thomas will buy none of this, and he may or may not have company this time.